In this great sport of horse racing, some times astute players have to look back to history to get a clue on the future so let’s revisit the Breeders’ Cup at Santa Anita in 2009 and try to project the winners of the 2-day event weeks ahead of the action. Nobody said it was an easy game!
Racing’s great extravaganza will be held in Arcadia this year on Friday & Saturday, November 2 and 3.
What started out in 1984 as 7 great showcased races in the Breeders’ Cuphas now more than doubled with 15 events this year but since the last time the Cup was at Santa Anita they had a synthetic surface, fans may be able to learn something about what happened that year in the grass events.
In 2009, there were 14 races on the BC card and 6 were run on the grass.
In the BC Mile in 2011 Goldikova was attempting to win this fixture for the fourth year in a row but she relinquished the lead that she had at the top of the lane to be beaten a length when third to Court Vision, who under the cagey teaching of Dale Romans, came flying from 2nd to last to win at 64-1.
In Goldikova’s 2009 Milescore the superstar sat 10th early, was still fifth with a furlong to go but quickened rapidly to post a 109 winning Beyer. In the Turf Sprint California Flag waved goodbye to his rival going wire-to-wire on the tricky about 6 and a half-furlong hillside course to cash by nearly 2 lengths with a 105 Beyer. He was coming into the event off a win in the Grade 3 Morvich on the same course which is a clue for all online sports players to grasp, success over this course sprinting can be tantamount no matter what the current form suggests.
To take things to the other end of the spectrum, check out the winner of the 2009 Turf, at a mile and a half. The hero, Conduit, made it two in a row in the Turf as he was coming off a defeat at 14-1 in the Arc at Longchamp but rallied from dead last and 16 back to win by a half length with a 106 Beyer.
The point here is that all of the foreigners must be given the double take in all of the grass events.
Midday was trained by the great Henry Cecil and she was fresh from a third in a Group 1 in France but dazzled the Arcadia crowd by sitting mid-pack early, closing steadily, then pulled away late to win the mile and a quarter fray by a length with a 102 Beyer.
In was a homecoming of sorts for the 2009 winner of the Juvenile Turf as Pounced saved the day for John Gosden, who for years plied his trade quite successfully at Santa Anita before going back to England.
Pouncedwas troubled in her debut, graduated at 7 furlongs on turf, was a solid second in her prior race before heading to America where she sat a close fifth early under Frankie Dettori, who unleashed the miss in time to win by three quarters of a length with a 85 Beyer. Again, the foreign influence is there for all to see.
Tapitsfly got one for the Americans in the Juvenile Fillies Turf when she was coming off a second in a three-horse field in a $114,000 Belmont stakes but got an ideal 2-hole trip to prevail by a half length with a 84 Beyer.
What online sports enthusiasts can take from these results is that there are more ways than one to skin a cat but coming to the race right and finding racing luck, is usually the difference before victory and the agony of defeat.
The early Cup predictions follow so keep them in mind with the big day is at hand. Here are Friday’s prognostications;
- JUVENILE FILLIES – Executivepriviledge
- JUVENILE SPRINT – Handsome Jack
- MARATHON – Eldaafer
- FILLY AND MARE TURF – The Fugue
- JUVENILE FILLIES TURF – Spring Venture
- LADIES CLASSIC – My Miss Aurelia
- SATURDAY – BC TURF SPRINT – California Flag
- BC FILLY AND MARE SPRINT – Winding Way